Superforecasting Fundamentals

taught by Good Judgment

Course description

Are you brand new to forecasting? Superforecasting Fundamentals introduces techniques used by Good Judgment Superforecasters to achieve world-class forecasting accuracy. Designed for new forecasters, the course is self-paced and includes approximately 1.5 hours of content on:

  • Understanding and testing your probabilistic reasoning skills
  • Applying base rates and taking both inside and outside views
  • Refining calibration to avoid being overconfident or underconfident
  • Building awareness of your cognitive biases

Each course-completing participant receives a digital Certificate of Completion.

We offer a 30-day Money Back Guarantee. If within 30 days of purchase you are not satisfied that this course has helped you become a more confident and accurate forecaster, please email us at

Interested in more advanced training? Consider attending one of our Superforecaster-led workshops planned for North America and Europe in 2018.

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Good  Judgment
Good Judgment

Good Judgment's forecasting methodology was developed from research for the U.S. intelligence community. After four years, five hundred questions, and over one million forecasts, Good Judgment's forecast accuracy outperformed even professional intelligence analysts with access to classified data.

For more information on Good Judgment's forecasting and training services, including group pricing, please email us at