Superforecasting Fundamentals

taught by Good Judgment

Course description

This self-paced, 1.5-hour course introduces techniques used by Good Judgment Superforecasters to achieve world class forecasting accuracy.

  • Sharpen forecasting calibration with practice examples
  • Learn forecasting best practices to combine 'base rates' with your knowledge of relevant news
  • Improve your probabilistic reasoning
  • Hone your awareness of innate cognitive biases

Participants receive a web-based Certificate of Completion.

We offer a 30-day Money Back Guarantee. If within 30 days of purchase you are not satisfied that this course has helped you become a more confident and accurate forecaster, please email us at

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Good  Judgment
Good Judgment

Good Judgment's forecasting methodology was developed from research for the US intelligence community. After four years, five hundred questions, and over one million forecasts, Good Judgment's forecast accuracy outperformed even professional intelligence analysts with access to classified data.

For more information on Good Judgment's forecasting and training services, including group pricing, please email us at